CBI Fire Risk Modeling Results, Santa Barbara County

Sep 16, 2020 (Last modified Dec 20, 2021)
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Description
Results of the fire risk modeling performed by Conservation Biology Institute, including large fire risk (i.e. likelihood that a fire will spread through a certain location in the future) and fire ignition.

For each of these, we have an analysis based on past conditions only, as well as two based on different projected climate futures. One of these, MIROC5, is warmer and wetter in most places compared to the other projection used, CNRM-CM5. We also took the average result between both futures.

Finally, we looked at the difference between the future model and the current model. This shows which areas are likely to get more risky faster than other areas. We did this for each climate model as well as for the average between the results using the two climate models.

Please see the associated report for more information.



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Conservation Biology Institute
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Creative Commons LicenseThis work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
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fire risk, santa barbara
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Conservation Biology Institute

We provide advanced conservation science, technology, and planning to empower our partners in solving the world’s critical ecological challenges